Collins Report

By Kevin “Coach” Collins

The generic numbers are collapsing. The terribly bad choice the Democrats have made in nominating Barack Obama is beginning to threaten their down ballot candidates.
As I have pointed out before, Barack Obama is turning into a flaming tire around the neck of many of their own candidates. A new Gallup poll released today shows that the “generic ballot” choice for American voters has closed from 11 points just last week to just 3 points today.

Obviously the comparison between Gov. Sarah Palin and Senator Joe Biden has made things worse and increased the bleeding rather than helped the Democrats regain their edge. Few people wanted to listen to those of us who saw Obama as a millstone around his party’s neck. Now all the world is seeing it.

The generic polls ask voters which party they will vote for regardless of the candidates involved. No names are used. The generic ballot polls always show Republicans under performing. This is so historically true that most observers agree that if the generic is anything better than –4 for Republicans they are actually ahead. To further illuminate this point consider this: the last generic poll going into the 1994 election when Republicans picked up 53 seats, showed the GOP + 6. Those of us who understood the power of the generic poll were not surprised at the outcome of those races.

The generic poll is now 48/45 with the Democrats.

Across America there are worried and upset Democratic House candidates sitting in their war rooms wondering why their party nominated a man who will pull their whole party into a ditch come November 4.