The Federal Reserve’s “bank stress tests” report shows Obama is hiding lies in plain sight
By Kevin “Coach” Collins
This “bank stress test” business is just another pack of lies from Obama.
Called “The Supervisory Capital Assessment Program” (SCAP) was a shame. Its Friday afternoon release was suspicious. Information the government really wants to bury is hidden “in plain sight” by a Friday afternoon release to insure publication on Saturday when few people are paying attention.
According to an analysis prepared by Tyler Durden at http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/, the report starts by saying “more than 150 senior supervisors, on-site examiners, analysts and economists” worked for one month conducting the audits of the 19 named institutions.
The problem Durden points out is that a genuine audit of a single bank is conducted by “hundreds of examiners over a period of months. Keep it mind these banks control Ten trillion dollars in assets and five hundred trillion dollars in derivatives.”
Durden continues by pointing out “the firms [being audited] were asked to project…..the firms were asked to provide…etc” and he asks “In other words, the banks tested themselves and the 150 examiners took their word for it. Any wonder they passed?”
So, 150 auditors took one month to examine 19 banks while in real life it takes “hundred of examiners” months to audit a single bank. Anyone who believes this report honestly says anything about American banks is a fool or works in the media.
If we had an honest media this report would reveal more about the actual condition of America’s banks than the government wants us to know. This report screams, “Phony!”
It’s a naked attempt to make us forget Obama’s daily gloom and doom talk since he won last fall.
We can’t trust the media to tell the truth so we have to search it out ourselves.
Go to the Fed’s website http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/bcreg/bcreg20090424a1.pdf and read the report for yourself.
More from the financial community
In his recent article “Secretive Bank Stress Tests Heighten Investor Stress” Shah Gilani‘s (Contributing Editor Money Morning) outlines the problems with Obama’s secrecy on this matter.
Gilani writes: “As outlined to the public, the stress tests were to pre-suppose a set of declining economic circumstances that would negatively impact bank balance sheets. For example, one scenario assumes that U.S. unemployment rises to 10.3% by the end of 2010. How or why the 10.3% assumption was chosen – as is the case with other scenario parameters – is unknown and is supposedly not to be revealed.
“The assumption of testing through the end of 2010 means only that a two-year window was established for definitive calculations. Under this scenario, examiners assumed two-year cumulative losses of 8.5% on mortgage portfolios, 11% on home-equity lines of credit, 8% on commercial and industrial loans, 12% on commercial real estate loans, and 20% on credit card portfolios. The results are then totaled and weighed against assumptions – again unknown – about the capital positions of the banks at that time.
“The fact that the assumptions themselves are a constantly moving target in our current crisis doesn’t lend comfort to any baseline conclusions that may be reached. On the other side of the equation, the tests don’t assume any revenue forecasts – either negative or positive – and may not assume further equity capital destruction or changing capital structures at the banks.”
Comments on this or any other Collins Report essay can be sent to kcoachc “at” gmail.com